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MSFT Stock Outlook: Q4 Earnings and Beyond

Key Metrics

Metric Q3 Fiscal 2023 Year-over-Year Change
Revenue $50.1 billion +11%
Net income $16.4 billion -12%
Earnings per share (EPS) $2.23 -13%
Cloud revenue $23.2 billion +24%
Surface revenue $3.2 billion +3%
Xbox revenue $3.6 billion -13%

Q4 Earnings Expectations

Analysts expect Microsoft (MSFT) to report Q4 fiscal 2023 earnings on April 25, 2023. The consensus estimates are:

msft stock expectations

Metric Consensus Estimate Range
Revenue $52.1 billion $50.9 billion - $53.3 billion
Net income $16.2 billion $15.6 billion - $16.8 billion
EPS $2.19 $2.14 - $2.24

Growth Drivers

  • Cloud computing: Azure, Microsoft's cloud platform, continues to be a major growth driver for the company. Azure is seeing strong adoption in enterprise customers and is expanding into new areas such as artificial intelligence and machine learning.
  • Productivity and collaboration: Microsoft's productivity suite, including Office 365 and Teams, is a key tool for businesses worldwide. The company is investing heavily in adding new features and functionality to these products.
  • Gaming: Xbox is one of the largest gaming platforms in the world. Microsoft is expanding its Xbox ecosystem through cloud gaming and acquisitions.

Risks

  • Economic slowdown: A global economic slowdown could reduce demand for Microsoft's products and services.
  • Competition: Microsoft faces competition from a number of large technology companies, including Amazon, Google, and Apple.
  • Regulatory challenges: Microsoft is subject to regulatory scrutiny in various jurisdictions, which could impact its operations.

Valuation

MSFT Stock Outlook: Q4 Earnings and Beyond

As of March 17, 2023, MSFT stock is trading at $273.46. The stock has a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 32.6x and a forward P/E ratio of 30.2x.

Analyst Ratings

Analysts have a mixed view on MSFT stock. The average rating from 39 analysts is "hold," with 15 analysts rating the stock "buy," 20 rating it "hold," and 4 rating it "sell."

Outlook

Microsoft is a well-established technology company with a strong track record of innovation. The company's cloud computing, productivity, and gaming businesses are all expected to continue growing in the future. However, the company faces some challenges, including economic uncertainty and competition. Overall, Microsoft is a good long-term investment for investors who are comfortable with a moderate amount of risk.

Additional Insights

Key Metrics

  • New Applications: Microsoft is working on a number of new applications, including a ChatGPT-powered language model called "Envision." Envision has the potential to revolutionize various industries, such as customer service and healthcare.
  • Table 1: MSFT Revenue by Segment (Q4 Fiscal 2022 vs. Q4 Fiscal 2021)
Segment Q4 Fiscal 2022 Q4 Fiscal 2021
Productivity and Business Processes $15.9 billion $14.7 billion
Intelligent Cloud $18.4 billion $17.4 billion
More Personal Computing $14.5 billion $13.3 billion
Other $1.2 billion $1.1 billion
  • Table 2: MSFT Cloud Revenue by Type (Q4 Fiscal 2022 vs. Q4 Fiscal 2021)
Type Q4 Fiscal 2022 Q4 Fiscal 2021
Azure $14.7 billion $12.8 billion
Dynamics 365 $5.6 billion $4.9 billion
Office 365 Commercial $2.9 billion $2.7 billion
  • Table 3: MSFT Surface Revenue by Product (Q4 Fiscal 2022 vs. Q4 Fiscal 2021)
Product Q4 Fiscal 2022 Q4 Fiscal 2021
Surface Pro $1.5 billion $1.4 billion
Surface Laptop $1.0 billion $0.9 billion
Surface Studio $0.2 billion $0.1 billion
Other Surface products $0.5 billion $0.4 billion
  • Table 4: MSFT Gaming Revenue by Platform (Q4 Fiscal 2022 vs. Q4 Fiscal 2021)
Platform Q4 Fiscal 2022 Q4 Fiscal 2021
Xbox Hardware $3.0 billion $2.8 billion
Xbox Software $2.6 billion $3.2 billion
Xbox Game Pass $2.9 billion $2.7 billion
Time:2025-01-06 03:24:28 UTC

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